Department of Economics
Saint Louis University
Professor: Rapach
Summer 2009
ECON 312
Intermediate Macroeconomics



Chapter Outline for “Chapter 9—Introduction to Economic Fluctuations,” N. Gregory Mankiw, Macroeconomics, Sixth edition (New York, N.Y.: Worth Publishers, 2007)




9-1 The Facts About the Business Cycle

GDP and Its Components


See Figure 9-1

See Figure 9-2

Unemployment and Okun’s Law


See Figure 9-3

See Figure 9-4

Leading Economic Indicators



9-2 Time Horizons in Macroeconomics

How the Short Run and the Long Run Differ


In the long run, prices are flexible and can respond to changes in supply or demand. In the short run, many prices are “sticky” at some predetermined level.

CASE STUDY: The Puzzle of Sticky Magazine Prices

The Model of Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand




9-3 Aggregate Demand

The Quantity Equation as Aggregate Demand


M × V = P × Y

M/P = (M/P)d = k × Y

See Figure 9-5

Why the Aggregate Demand Curve Slopes Downward


Shifts in the Aggregate Demand Curve


See Figure 9-6



9-4 Aggregate Supply

The Long Run: The Vertical Aggregate Supply Curve


See Figures 9-7 and 9-8

The Short Run: The Horizontal Aggregate Supply Curve


See Figure 9-9 and 9-10

From the Short Run to the Long Run


Over long periods of time, prices are flexible, the aggregate supply curve is vertical, and changes in aggregate demand affect the price level but not output. Over short periods of time, prices are sticky, the aggregate supply curve is flat, and changes in aggregate demand to affect the economy’s output of goods and services.

See Figures 9-11 and 9-12

CASE STUDY: Gold, Greenbacks, and the Contraction of the 1870s



9-5 Stabilization Policy

Demand shock

Supply shock

Stabilization policy

Shocks to Aggregate Demand


See Figure 9-13

Shocks to Aggregate Supply


See Figures 9-14 and 9-15

CASE STUDY: How OPEC Helped Cause Stagflation in the 1970s and Euphoria in the 1980s



9-6 Conclusion



Questions for Review: 1, 2, 4, 5

Problems and Applications: 3 (b)




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